2021 NFL schedule release Projecting games with biggest playoff implications in NFLs first 17-game season
2021 NFL schedule release Projecting games with biggest playoff implications in NFLs first 17-game season
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The full schedule for the 2021 NFL season is out. You can view right here. If you go to our , you can find all kinds of schedule analysis, from the each week to the games and from games to of how the schedule broke down.What we're here to talk about right now, though, is the playoffs. Playoffs? ? We haven't even played a game! Still, we can look at the schedule and identify which games might have the biggest impact on postseason positioning.How can we do that? By taking a look at the SportsLine projections from our guy Stephen Oh, and using those projections to find games that could affect the race for the No. 1 seed in each conference (the only team that gets a bye), the race for divisional titles (the top four seeds), and the race for one of the wild-card spots. Pick Six Newsletter Crafted By The Best NFL Experts Get the day's big stories + fun stuff you love like mock drafts, picks and power rankings. I agree to receive the "Pick Six Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. By pre sing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the and acknowledge Paramount's . Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe. Thanks for signing up! Keep an eye on your inbox. Sorry! There was an error proce sing your subscription. Here, we included all the teams with a greater than 10% chance of securing the No. 1 seed in each conference, according to the SportsLine projections. In the AFC, that's the , , and . In the NFC, it's the , , , and . Team% No. 1O/UChiefs32.3%12Bills21.2%10.5Ravens19.3%11Buccaneers29.0%11.5Packers14.5%11Saints11.9%9.5Rams11.0%10.5AFCWeek 2: Chiefs at RavensWeek 5: Bills at ChiefsNot too many games here for the AFC, and this will be a theme throughout. The NFC is a much more balanced conference, with more teams seemingly in the mix for a potential spot in January. The Chiefs play against both potential No. 1 seed contenders, giving them an opportunity to win a head-to-head tiebreaker against both teams, which could be important. The Ravens and Bills do not play against each other this year, so any tiebreaker will be decided on one of the criteria further down the list. It's interesting that both of these games are played early in the season, given that people typically think of late-season games as having a larger impact on playoff positioning.NFCWeek 1: Packers at SaintsWeek 3: Buccaneers at RamsWeek 8: Buccaneers at SaintsWeek 12: Packers at RamsWeek 15: Saints at BuccaneersWe start right from the jump here with (we think) and the Packers traveling to New Orleans to take on either or and the Saints. Cody Barton Jersey The Bucs and Saints play twice because they're in the same division, while each team plays one of the Packers and Rams thanks to the "play a team that finished the same place in their division as you did the year before" part of the schedule formula. The Packers might be in the worst position here, not just because of the ongoing Rodgers drama, but because their two games against fellow No. 1 seed contenders are both on the road. The Rams, meanwhile, get both of their games at home.There are two divisions where the projections give one team a better than 60% chance to take home the crown: the AFC West, where Kansas City has a 76.4% shot; and the NFC North, where the Packers have a 66.5% chance of winning. Each of the other six divisions have at least two teams with a 20% chance or better of emerging atop the pack. Team% DivO/UBills57.5%10.520.9%921.1%9Ravens51.5%1128.7%1053.6%1044.0%9.5Buccaneers55.6%11.5Saints28.6%9.5Rams33.2%10.527.2%1024.8%1056.9%9.5Football Team25.0%8AFC EastWeek 1: Dolphins at PatriotsWeek 2: Bills at DolphinsWeek 8: Dolphins at BillsWeek 13: Patriots at BillsWeek 16: Bills at PatriotsWeek 18: Patriots at DolphinsThe Dolphins-Patriots games that bookend the season should be fascinating. Doesn't it feel like Miami always plays in New England early in the year and New England plays in Miami late? I suppose it makes sense for weather reasons, but I'd like to see it the other way around sometime. The Patriots and Bills also play each other twice in a four-week span, which is always fun. Miami has a chance to get off to a really good or really bad start, playing the Patriots in Week 1 and the Bills in Week 2.AFC NorthWeek 12: Browns at RavensWeek 14: Ravens at BrownsSpeaking of teams that play multiple times in a very short span, we've got the two Browns-Ravens games in three weeks. Cleveland actually plays Baltimore two games in a row, because the Browns take their bye in Week 13. I'm not sure I've ever seen something like that before. The Ravens travel to Pittsburgh to play the in the week between these two contests, which could give Cleveland an advantage in the second matchup.AFC SouthWeek 3: Colts at TitansWeek 8: Titans at ColtsCombined, these two teams have a 97.6% chance to win the AFC South (shockingly, the projections do not have much faith in the or ), so these two games carry tremendous importance. It's tough to say either team has an advantage from playing home or away early in the season rather than in Week 8, but it's worth noting that the Colts play the Rams and 49ers in Week 2 and Week 7, while the Titans play the Seahawks and Chiefs the week before these divisional matchups. NFC SouthWeek 8: Buccaneers at SaintsWeek 15: Saints at BuccaneersMentioned above, but I do think the Saints get a slight break here not having to play the Bucs early in the season, when they could still be figuring out their quarterback situation and how the new, Drew Brees-le s offense will work. They should be in a better rhythm by the middle of Benson Mayowa Jersey the year.NFC WestWeek 4: Seahawks at 49ersWeek 5: Rams at SeahawksWeek 10: Rams at 49ersWeek 13: 49ers at SeahawksWeek 15: Seahawks at RamsWeek 18: 49ers at RamsThe projections think the NFC West is kind of up for grabs, despite the Rams being the only team with a sizable shot at the No. 1 seed. We'll talk more about this in the next section, because the give this division four teams with a pretty good shot at getting into the playoffs, even though they lag behind in their chances to win the division.NFC EastWeek 12: Cowboys at Football TeamWeek 16: Football Team at CowboysDallas not having to face the ferocious Washington pa s rush early in the season is nice for Dak Prescott... unle s the offensive line has injury i sues again, which could cause some problems when they have to face the Football Team late in the year. Will still be under center for these games? Probably, because Washington doesn't really have anyone else to put there. But it's worth noting that Fitz's floor is as low as his ceiling is high, and things could get weird. SportsLine is very confident in the Chiefs, Ravens, Bills, and Colts making the playoffs, giving each of them an 74.6% chance or better of advancing beyond the regular season. There are then six teams whose chances range between 30% and 70%, and those are the ones we'll discu s below. In the NFC, the Packers are the only team above 70%, a suming they have Aaron Rodgers. There are then teams whose playoff chances are a bit more up in the air, between 30% and 70%.Team% PlayoffsO/UBrowns63.3%10Titans65.7%9.5Dolphins52.8%9Patriots51.1%9Steelers49.4%941.4%9Saints65.7%9.5Rams64.8%10.549ers61.6%10Seahawks56.9%10Cowboys65.1%9.545.0%7Cardinals43.8%842.4%7.5Football Team33.3%8AFCWeek 1: Dolphins at PatriotsWeek 5: Browns at ChargersWeek 8: Steelers at BrownsWeek 8: Patriots at ChargersWeek 11: Steelers at ChargersWeek 12: Titans at PatriotsWeek 15: Titans at SteelersWeek 17: Dolphins at TitansWeek 17: Browns at SteelersWeek 18: Patriots at DolphinsThe aforementioned divisional games make up most of the slate here. But the Browns also have two games against the Steelers and one against the Chargers. L.A. also plays the Patriots and the Steelers, and all three of those games are at home, which is a nice break to catch. The Titans have to go on the road to face the Patriots and Steelers, but at least get to host the Dolphins.NFCWeek 1: Bears at RamsWeek 4: Cardinals at RamsWeek 4: Seahawks at 49ersWeek 4: Falcons at Football TeamWeek 5: 49ers at CardinalsWeek 5: Rams at SeahawksWeek 5: Saints at Football TeamWeek 7: Saints at SeahawksWeek 8: 49ers at BearsWeek 9: Cardinals at 49ersWeek 9: Falcons at SaintsWeek 10: Falcons at CowboysWeek 10: Rams at 49ersWeek 11: Cardinals at SeahawksWeek 12: Seahawks at Football TeamWeek 13: Cardinals at BearsWeek 13: 49ers at SeahawksWeek 13: Cowboys at SaintsWeek 14: Cowboys at Football TeamWeek 14: Rams at CardinalsWeek 15: Falcons at 49ersWeek 15: Seahawks at RamsWeek 16: Bears at SeahawksWeek 16: Football Team at CowboysWeek 17: Cardinals at CowboysWeek 18: Saints at FalconsWeek 18: Seahawks at CardinalsWeek 18: 49ers at RamsWeek 18: Saints at FalconsWe've got 29 (TWENTY-NINE!) games with potential implications here, which is pretty Chris Carson Jersey awesome. There's at least one of them in 15 of the 18 weeks, with the only exceptions being Weeks 2, 3, and 6. The Seahawks have the most of any team, with nine of their 17 games being against this group of teams. They also play against the Colts, Titans, Steelers, and Packers, so their schedule is pretty wild. Unsurprisingly, their fellow foes in the NFC West rank highly in games against this group of teams. The Bears have just four of them, while the Falcons and Saints have six and the Cowboys and Football Team have five.
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